TheRiskBlog

Bruce Watson of the Daily Finance Blog posted the article: Food Shortages Coming? Famed Investor Jim Rogers Thinks So

The Article deals mostly with Jim Rogers opinion about the rise of commodity Futures because of an upcoming shortage in Food. But that´s not the point that caught my eye.

Suppose you would know a stock price is heading up. In that case it would be easy to allocate  the bigger portion of your portfolio to that stock alone and ride the wave. Unfortunately knowing where a stock is heading is everybody´s guess. Nobody really knows but there is

Mere mortals like us have no business competing with this guy, thats why we calmly sit down and listen when he talks. This is a real pro and he has been right about the markets at numerous occasions, so we listen again and adjust our risk management accordingly.

We all know what it is like when you see a chart and instantly know where the price is heading. Since you “know” that price is going up you go long. Now this was a controlled, rational decision you made, you saw the chart, you knew what was happening and you reacted, or was it?